Warning:

This blog may contain: profanity, excessive sarcasm, wry sardonic wit and overwhelming tempestuous floods of needless pop culture references. Proceed with due caution.

Saturday, November 29, 2008

Dr. Eric's Lead Pipe Lock Intel Report Preview Analyst Over/Under Pig Skin Pick 'Em: Week 13 Part 2

The WTF LOL Bewildering Out-of-Context Quote of the Week

Jerricho Cotchery on how Brett Favre has inspired the Jets to becoming a decent team:
"He is the notorious butt-slapper. You have to watch out for him because you may be stretching out or something, and he just comes out of nowhere."

Look. It's totally Favre's fun personality. It's definitely not Thomas Jones' career year. Or the seasoning of Darrelle Revis and David Harris. Or the additions of Calvin Pace, Kris Jenkins, Alan Faneca, and rookie Dwight Lowery. Definitely Brett Favre's jaunty personality.
_____________________________________________________________________
...And the rest...

San Fransisco @ Buffalo

I give thanks for Trent Edwards actually being entertaining and engaging in interviews, unlike 97% of all athletes, especially golfers. I give thanks for Mike Singletary's belt (possibly his suspenders). I give thanks for Beast Mode all up in your d-line's grill.

Winner: Buffalo

Baltimore @ Cincinnati

I give thanks for the hit Adam Sandler vehicle about prison football, The Longest Yard, on which I believe this game was based. I give thanks to plea bargains and knife-murders-at-large. I give thanks for teams named after Edgar Allen Poe poems. I wish Keats was from Cincinnati. Then they could be the Cincinnati Belle Dame sans Merci. That's pretty hardcore, right?

Winner: Baltimore

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay

I give thanks for Drew Brees not playing for the Chargers anymore. I give thanks for the Barry Sanders Jr. (Reggie Bush) being a terrible running back (though he is a good receiver). I give thanks for creole food. This has nothing to do with football, but I had a really good honeyed biscuit and some cajun home fries this morning for brakfast. They were really good... Much better than the Saints, who are so 2006 anyway. I would give thanks for the Buccaneers in one way or another, but they are really bland and I couldn't care less about them.

Winner: Tampa Bay

Football Giants @ Washington

I give thanks for huge divisional games like this. I give anti-thanks to the Giants for letting Tiki Barber and Michael Strahan retire. I should not have to listen to them on television. I would gladly give thanks to anyone who could fire them. I give thanks for Eli Manning's hair. I give thanks for all 6 feet and 2 inches of firecracker that make up Jim Zorn.

Winner: Washington. Why Not?

Miami @ St. Louis

I give thanks for Chad Pennington's 93.4 passer rating. I give thanks for the Dolphins' incredible yards after the catch ability that could give Pennington a 8.0 yards per attempt average, especially considering Pennington has never thrown a pass longer than maybe six yards in his whole life. I give thanks for St. Louis continuing to go out there and play each gam for no reason, and to no avail.

Winner: Miami

Indianapolis @ Cleveland

I give thanks for Peyton Manning's forehead. I give thanks for Romeo Crennel's stunning physique. I give thanks for Brady Quinn's poor play and season-ending injury. I really give thanks for that.

Winner: Indianapolis

Carolina @ Green Bay

I give thanks for snowy games at Lambeau. I give thanks for Jake Delhomme throwing four interceptions and still beating the Raiders. I give thanks for Jordan Gross' surname.

Winner: Green Bay

Atlanta @ San Diego

I give thanks for Eli Manning and Roethlisberger getting rings before Philip Rivers. I give thanks to any person who has ever sacked Philip Rivers in their NFL career. I give thanks to anyone who has ever sacked Philip Rivers in their college career. I pretty much give thanks to anyone who has ever treated Philip Rivers poorly in any way--that guy sucks a lot.

Winner: Atlanta (please)

Denver @ Football Jets

I give thanks for Peyton Hillis and Spencer Larsen. I give thanks for Brett Favre's beard. I give thanks for Vinny Testeverde (he's gotta be out there somewhere keeping it real). I give thanks for Deanna Favre's jealousy over all the ass-slappings Brett's teammate's get, while she sits at home alone waxing poetic. Seriously does shit just happen to the Favre family so that they can overcome it courageously, making everyone (especially Tony Kornheiser) adore them even more?

Winner: Unfortuantely the Football Jets

Pittsburgh @ New England

It's hard to give thanks when Matt Cassell comes in and plays as well as he has, but I'll try. I give thanks for the Steelers offensive line. I give thanks for Randy Moss playing like he's back in a Raiders uniform. I give thanks for whoever discovered the Patriots cheating. I give thanks for tarnished "dynasties."

Winner: New England

Kansas City @ Oakland

Sigh. I give thanks to Al Davis' senility. I give thanks to Raiders fans proudly embarrassing themselves every home game. I give thanks to the lady that reported Larry Johnson's salivary projections. I give thanks to Deangelo Hall.

Winner: Kansas City

Chicago @ Minnesota

I give thanks for Rex Grossman. I give thanks for Gus Frerotte. I give thanks for contstant interceptions and fumbles. I give thanks for the Vikings failed expectations. I give thanks to the Booty and Birk families for keeping their proud names alive.

Winner: Minnesota

Jacksonville @ Houston

I give thanks for Steve Slaton being on the waiver wire. I give thanks for Ahman Green's season ending injury (sorry Ahman). I give thanks to Ron Jaworski for keeping MNF football somewhat watchable. I give thanks for a weak thanksgiving premise strung out far longer than it ever should have been.

Winner: Houston

Last Week: 9-6
Earlier This Week: 3-0
Overall: 91-57

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Dr. Eric's Lead Pipe Lock Intel Report Preview Analyst Over/Under Pig Skin Pick 'Em: Week 13 Part 1

Since there are three Thanksgiving games tomorrow, I figured I should get my picks in beforehand (unlike last week). Since I am pressed for time at the moment, I am only going to do the three Thanksgiving games today and finish the rest, in the normal format, by Sunday. As is apropos, the picks will be Thanksgiving themed.

Tennessee @ Detroit

I am thankful for Tennessee playing in this game, because otherwise it would be unwatchable. With the Titans, it deserves at least a quick cursory glance, but that's about it. I am thankful for Kerry Collins' gamesmanship, and how everyone forgot that he is a racist alcoholic. I am thankful for Calvin Johnson and Daunte Culpepper because they are the only players on the team that anyone knows. They will save Collinsworth and Gumbel, or whoever else is doing this, from excessive dead air time. I am also thankful for CBS broadcasting on channel which people can watch. I would be more thankful, though, if there was a competitive game being played.

Winner: Tennessee

Seattle @ Dallas

I am thankful for homeless people and elderly couples with flat tires, because otherwise there would be no way for Tony Romo to show off how charitable he is. I am thankful for Jerry Jones' plastic face. I am thankful for teary-eyed press conferences where prima donnas repeat obvious things like "that's my quarterback." I am thankful for Homecoming Weekend in Dallas. The Jones family will surely have a wonderful time. I am thankful for multiple felons who are named after video game characters being allowed to play football after having spent more time in court, therapy and rehab than at practice. I am thankful for FOX broadcasting this game on a channel which people can actually watch.

Winner: Dallas

Arizona @ Philadelphia

I am thankful for desperate teams--from the coaches and front office down to the players. I am thankful for an 85-year old quarterback leading the NFL in passer rating and tied for first in prayers. I am thankful for Anquan Boldin's new face. I am thankful for Philadelphia's under-performance with and exceptionally talent roster, especially after they were a preseason Super Bowl pick by many. I am thankful for press conferences in which long-time NFL quarterbacks admit they don't know basic rules, but make up for it by using "which" every other sentence so that they sound slightly more intelligent. I am thankful for a sport forcing its players to play on a national, family-oriented holiday. I am thankful for the patriotism of Thanksgiving football. Nothing says America more than avoiding actually talking to your family on a family holiday, so that you can watch a brutally violent sport on television. "And I'm proud to be an American, where at least I know I'm free..." I am not, however, thankful for the goddamn NFL Network and it's horrible policies regarding service providers.

Winner: Philadelphia (riding the despration train)

I'll BRB with the rest in the next few games. LOL! BTW LMAO!

Monday, November 24, 2008

20 Things I Enjoy More Than Watching the Broncos Right Now

I'm not going to dignify the Broncos' Week 12 effort with a detailed, analytical response.

Therefore, here are a list of things I enjoy more than watching the Broncos lose in a frustratingly embarrassing manner:

  1. Creed
  2. High School Musical
  3. Watching Roseanne sing the National Anthem
  4. Brett Favre
  5. Shotgunning Natty Light
  6. The New York Yankees
  7. Passing a kidney stone
  8. Sitting through a Wagnerian opera
  9. Reading a Jane Austen novel
  10. Romantic comedies starring Matthew McConaughey
  11. MTV
  12. Vomiting
  13. Standing in line at the DMV
  14. Getting kicked in the groin
  15. Watching The Vagina Monologues with Andrew Dice Clay
  16. Getting stuck in rush-hour traffic
  17. Hunting with Dick Cheney
  18. Drinking the water in Mexico
  19. Frank TV commercials
  20. An evening with Pacman Jones

Those are just a few of the things I enjoy more than watching the Broncos lose the way they did yesterday.

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Dr. Eric's Lead Pipe Lock Intel Report Preview Analyst Over/Under Pig Skin Pick 'Em: Week 12

Whoopsies, little late. Well, I'm in this thing they call "school" and it is quiet time consuming, as well as tedious after 17+ years. So, my sincerest apologies to my one fan (whoever you are, thanks for the support).

The WTF LOL Bewildering Out-of-Context Quote(s) of the Week

This one will be a little series of awesomeness...

Troy Williamson on his beloved former coach, Brad Childress:

"If y'all can give this to coach Childress, we can meet on the 50-yard line. We can go at it. I'd even tie my hands around my back."

Very kinky, Troy.

Brad Childress on Williamson's proposal:

"I’m not like woman I’ll give you my weight. It’s 190 pounds of twisted steel and rompin', stompin' dynamite."

Even kinkier.

Jared Allen on this "fight:"

"He’s got a badass mustache. I put my money on whoever has a kickass mustache."

Kickass, bro. Though, I wouldn't call his mustache kickass. It's more like a come hang out in the back of my rusty van mustache. The real issue, though, is that Jared Allen is gambling. Pete Rose would be ashamed of Mr. Allen. Tisk. Tisk.

____________________________________________________________________

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh

Kinda late here, but why not? So, Roethlisberger has bodyguards that follow him around at all times. I guess he’s famous and doesn’t want to get injured by any haters. But my main question is: Where were these bodyguards on his fateful motorcycle ride. Shouldn’t at least one of them, as guards of his body, said something like, “Hey Ben, maybe you shouldn’t be riding a motorcycle at 80 mph without a helmet. That might, ya know, be worse than some member of the Dawg Pound challenging you to a fist fight. Maybe it’s just me.” Large Ben also has his own BBQ sauce, with the imaginative name Big Ben's BBQ. To that I say, Ultimate cage match 2008! Ed McCaffrey’s Horseradish Sauce vs. Big Ben’s BBQ Sauce. Ultimate showdown! There can be only one Highlander!

Winner: Eddie Mac's radish from horses sauce. That shit is good on Eddie Mac and Cheese. Why couldn't Rod Smith's name have been Rod Cheddar or Rod Limburger? Mac and Cheese would have been a dynamic nickname for a dynamic duo. (I think I just threw up a little in my mouth)

Philadelphia @ Baltimore

Since actor/Eagles fan/songwriter/puzzle piece Ryan Phillipe picked the Eagles, I should probably pick them. He's the star of Gosford Park and Deadly Invasion: The Killer Bee Nightmare! But I'm not sold on them. Though the Giants went medieval on their buttocks last week, I still think the Ravens are a decent team. I seriously hope I'm wrong, though. Ryan Phillipe needs 8 wins to tie Gavin Rossdale of the hit band Bush!

Winner: Baltimore

Houston @ Cleveland

Ladies and gentlemen, I now present to you another short section from the screenplay for my upcoming film Shit Show...

Phil Savage arrives home after a long hard day of Brady Quinn calling him a fag. His wife has just finished dinner and the family sits down together for the meal.
Mrs. Savage: Honey, how was your day?
Phillip: Go root for Buffalo-Fuck you
Mrs. Savage: That's good, hun. Guess what! I took the kids to the zoo today to see the giraffes and the buffaloes.
Philly: Go marry a buffalo-Fuck you
Mrs. Savage: I know. It was a lot of fun.
Little Billy Savage: Papa, I got an A on my social studies test!
Philly Baby: Go have your test pay the bills-Fuck you

It continues as such for a while. I think it's pretty good. I especially like the bills/Bills wordplay there at the end of the excerpt. I would post the whole screenplay, but I'm under contractual obligations to Dreamworks Pictures to keep it on the hush hush.

Winner: Cleveland because of Sage Rosenfels and his sissy name.

Tampa Bay @ Detroit

Oh, Lions fans. I'm amazed that there are any of you out there, but you just keep sticking around. You're like John Travolta--there's absolutely no reason for you to still exist and yet, you do! You just won't go away. I'm going to go out on a limb and say you go 0-16. Then you can join the hallowed likes of the 1976 Buccaneers, whom you, rather ironically, play this Sunday. Jon Gruden works too hard to lose to you. He's diagramming plays while he bangs his wife. He is watching game film at his daughter's soccer game. Actually, Jon Gruden is too manly to have a soccer-playing daughter. She's probably an aspiring MMA fighter.

Winner: Tampa Bay

Buffalo @ Kansas City

Oh, Tyler Thigpen, you complete me (and my fantasy team). You went from being one of the worst quarterbacks ever to being one of the best performers in recent weeks. And Herm Edwards, he of having few coaching attributes besides playing to win the game, is your coach. You must be audibling at the line of scrimmage for every play. There's no way you could throw a touchdown on a Herm Edwards-called play. That is impossible. Also, Tyler, while I'm speaking to you, will you please spit in Larry Johnson's face in the huddle? That would be so satisfying.

Winner: Buffalo. My main man Trent Edwards will get back on track.

Chicago @ St. Louis

While we're talking about fantasy football, the Rams, like the Lions, are a frickin' goldmine. They're like buying an IPO of Microsoft. Or like being good bros with company insiders like Mark Cuban. Basically any player that you start against the Lions or Rams is guaranteed twenty points. Watch out now! Garret Wolfe might put up 30!

Winner: Chicago

Football Jets @ Tennesee

This game is TITANIC. Woo! Touchdown me. Anyways, this is a very significant game in terms of the playoff photograph. One if these teams is likely to get the first seed in the AFC. Kerry Collins could ride that home field advantage all the way to the Super Bowl and endorsements deals, while Brett Farve gunslings his way to the AFC championship on the road. Maybe Kerry Collins would start getting in commercials. Is he comfortable in wranglers? Does he wear faded #5 t-shirts when he's not being music city (un)miraculous for the Titans on Sunday? He'd at least be good for Country Music Television promos. It's not hard to be happy when I'm looking at you too, Kerry.

Winner: Football Jets

New England @ Miami

I guess people are warming up to Matt Cassell. People are even discussing if they should trade Tom Brady. Peter King talked about it in his weekly love poem to Brett Favre, I mean column. Does Matt Cassell wear Stetson Cologne? Are there any single supermodels for him to date? Does Matty have any children out of wedlock? These are the real questions you must ask when evaluating a quarterback.

Winner: Wildcat!

Minnesota @ Jacksonville

I have to continue with the Williamson-Childress soap opera. I really want to see them fight. If Williamson wins, he should be allowed to kill Childress' grandmother and take away Childress' paycheck for his bereavement week. If Childress wins, he has to fight Jack Del Rio. I'm curious to see if Childress' 190 pounds of twisted steel and rompin', stompin' dynamite are a match for Del Rio's 250 pounds of leather jacket-wearing former linebacker. Man, that would be hilarious to watch.

Winner: Jacksonville

San Fransisco @ Dallas

If you haven't heard, Marion Barber is like a closer in baseball. Al Michaels explained it to me for about 20 minutes last Sunday evening. He compared Barber to Brad Lidge. So what does that make the rest of the team? I guess Tony Romo has to be Cole Hamels. It goes without saying that Wade Phillips is Charlie Manuel. They are both jolly, old fat men--the Santa Claus's of their respective sports. I guess Jason Witten is Chase Fuckin' Utley, with less fuckin' profanity (lift your proud fists to the sky, Jayson Werth, to the glory of the word "fuckin'"). Jay Ratliff is Ryan Howard I guess, since they're both overweight and black. But who is Terrell Owens? I can't think of any whiny bitches on the Phillies. Oh well.

Winner: Dallas

Oakland @ Denver

Everyone is all aflutter about Spencer Larsen playing offense and defense (as well as special teams). With 95% of the Broncos starters injured, they might think of some other players who could play both sides. Ryan Clady should be getting snaps at defensive tackle, since nobody else on the Broncos can play that position. Jay Cutler played safety in high school, and the situation there is about the same as defensive tackle. Jamie Winborn could try out some wideout. Last Sunday showed that he can't catch balls thrown directly at him. He would fit right in with the Broncos receiving core, who happen to lead the NFL in dropped passes. He definitely has the personality of a wideout with his desire to celebrate after anything happens ever. Tackling for an 8 yard gain? Yell and pump your fists. 70 yard reception nowhere near Winborn? The sack dance. Touchdown for which Winborn was directly responsible? Bring out the props, because this is worth the penalty.

Winner: Denver

Carolina @ Atlanta

Matt Ryan has been Marino-esque in his rookie year, but he had a 71.5 passer rating against the Broncos defense. That's embarassing. Damon Huard did better than that. Bode well for Matt Ryan, that does not. Now Ryan faces the somehow 8-2 Panthers with their fifth ranked pass defense. Momentum is not on Atlanta's side. Add to that, their former quarterback and puppy cuddler, Michael Vick, plans to play in the NFL when he is released next summer. He might be able to play running back for the Bengals.

Winner: Carolina

Football Giants @ Arizona

Kurt Warner and his lord and savior Jesus Christ are leading the NFL in passer rating, by a lot. He is also a free agent at the end of the season and has told Mrs. Warner that he's strongly considering retiring, probably to enter priesthood. Remember Matt Leinart? The guy who couldn't pass the ball with Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin as his wide receivers? Well, he's still alive and he's got a future WNBA-playing daughter to support. He could very well be the Cardinals starting QB next year. The Cardinals better win the Super Bowl this year. Leinart might win one game for them for the remainder of his career. How Leinart and Vince Young were picked ahead of Jay Cutler amazes me every Sunday.

Winner: Football Giants. Sorry, not sold on the run-less Cardinals.

* This thing is getting way too long without the bye weeks. I'm going to keep the next few short and sweet, just in case anybody has made it this far.

Washington @ Seattle

Mike Holmgren is fat and has a mustache.

Winner: Washington

Indianapolis @ San Diego

Philip Rivers is an asshole and I hope he dies by plane crash in the Bermuda Triangle. Peyton Manning probably knows that you can't tie in a commercial.

Winner: Indianapolis

Green Bay @ New Orleans

Drew Brees has a leech on his face. Remember when Brett Favre used to be on the Packers and hadn't completely destroyed his reputation? Those were the days.

Winner: Green Bay

Last Week: 9-7 (counted the tie as a loss for me)
Overall: 79-51

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Denver Broncos: Beware the Trap Game

Let's reminisce, shall we? The date? September 28, 2008. The place? Arrowhead Stadium. The situation? The 3-0 Denver Broncos saunter into Kansas City to face the 0-3 Chiefs.

The Broncos, coming off three heart-stopping victories thanks to their high-octane offense, were supposed to waltz into KC and wipe the floor with a team that hadn't won a football game since October 21, 2007.

Funny thing happened on the way to that victory though.

Nobody told the Chiefs.

In a sloppy game that included a fumble each from Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal, and two interceptions by Cutler, the Chiefs gained 213 yards on the ground and trampled the Broncos 33-19.

Fast forward to today.

Coming off two comeback wins against the Browns and Falcons, the Broncos have played with a rejuvenated confidence epitomized by Jay Cutler taking control in the fourth quarter of each game to lead his team down the field and onto victory.

At 6-4 and with a two game lead in the AFC West, the Broncos are in the driver's seat and on the fast track to a playoff spot as they welcome the lowly Raiders into Invesco Field at Mile High on Sunday.

The Broncos, however, need to beware.

Yes, the Raiders haven't scored an offensive touchdown in the last three weeks, and yes, they've only tallied nine offensive touchdowns all season. They're 2-8, disjointed on defense, anemic on offense, and their best player is kick returner Johnnie Lee Higgins.

But that doesn't mean the Broncos will win by simply showing up.

Their win against the Falcons was arguably their most solid victory of the season. The offense's four drives in the second half went touchdown, field goal, touchdown, victory formation, and their porous run defense held the Falcons high-powered rushing attack to just 113 yards.

They need to build off the momentum created by that success against a tough Falcons squad, and not simply look ahead to their November 30 tilt against the New York Jets in the Big Apple.

If they take the Raiders for granted, it could be deja vu all over again.

Thursday, November 13, 2008

Dr. Eric's Lead Pipe Lock Intel Report Preview Analyst Over/Under Pig Skin Pick 'Em: Week 11

The WTF LOL Bewildering Out-of-Context Quote of the Week

Let's go with something apropos.

Dan O'Dowd on Greg Smith:

"He really knows how to carve people up."

Is that such a good thing? Come on, it's almost thanksgiving. For the record, if I see Greg Smith carving people up, I will call the police.

_____________________________________________________________________

New York Jets @ New England

So the Patriots are 6-3 without Tom Brady and the Jets are 6-3 with Brett Favre. I'm confused. Football is on Thursday night before Thanksgiving. Confused again. The NFL made it's own network with exclusive rights to highly watchable games such as this. Okay, that makes perfect sense. Four people in the entire world can watch the NFL Network, and that includes the people who work on the show. Now I'm confused again.

Winner: New England

Denver @ Atlanta

Remember Tatum Bell? He had a 99 purse stealing attribute in Madden. He also had a -99 in carrying. For some reason Mike Shanahan chose Tatum because he knew the offense, because "has played well when he has played here," and "he was the only one left." Was Mike Bell shipwrecked in the Bermuda Triangle or something? He had eight touchdowns in 2006. He did well before the coaching staff decided he no longer deserved to play in 2007. Let's not forget, Tatum Bell redefined the phrase "fumble prone" in 2006. I don't get it. Just like I don't get how Mike Smith can coach up his crappy defense so well. Cutler better throw well.

Winner: Atlanta (Last week I picked against the Broncos and they won. Fingers crossed.)

Detroit @ Carolina

I bet those crazy coaches are going to start Drew Stanton now. He's had a year and nine games to learn the offense. But Daunte Culpepper is Daunte Culpepper! He can scramble and throw exceptionally well! Oh wait, it's not 2004. Culpepper had a couple days to learn this "offense" and he blows without Randy Moss. I wonder how many wins Jon Kitna declared the Lions would have this year. P.S. Never come out of retirement to quarterback the Lions; it's just common sense.

Winner: Carolina

Philadelphia @ Cincinnati

Ryan Fitzpatrick cajoled his Ivy League education into a victory against the Jaguars before their bye week, while a group of barely educated convicts supported him on offense and defense. Congratulations, Bengals, you are no longer as embarrassing as the Lions. You've won one whole game! Amazing! I'd kind of like to know, though, one single coaching skill Marvin Lewis in which Marvin Lewis excels. He's supposed to be a defensive guru, but his defenses have always been devastatingly bad. He can't motivate. If he dropped his pants, his players would probably steal his wallet. He can't player evaluate, since most of his team has been arrested. He can't really do anything.

Winner: Philadelphia

New Orleans @ Kansas City

Want to know something disturbing? Tyler Thigpen has a 104.6 passer rating over the last three games and that includes a game against the good Buccaneers defense and a the respectable Jets defense. He's fast, has a strong arm and, from what I've seen lately, is quite accurate. I guess he has a quick learning curve, because in weeks 2-3 he made J.T. O'Sullivan look like a Hall of Famer.

Winner: New Orleans

Baltimore @ Football Giants

Some people have been calling the 08 Giants one of the best teams of all time. Uh... no. They're very good, but definitely not the best. If Eli Manning is your quarterback, you are not among the best teams of all time. Eli and Earth, Wind & Fire will have a lot to show against the Ravens stout D this week. On the other side, the Ravens 3-man, fantasy-murdering rushing attack will have to man-up against Fred Robbins and Co. Something intriguing: the Ravens offensive line averages 24.4 years of age. Quite astonishing, actually, for the team with the third most rushing yards in the NFL.

Winner: Football Giants

Minnesota @ Tampa Bay

That was a big win against the Packers last week. Who would have thought Mason "Mr. Charisma" Crosby would have missed that field goal with his exceptional leg? And who would have thought a man of that size could do karate? This week, Brad "I'm just going around the neighborhood letting everyone know that I'm a convicted sex offender" Childress faces off against Jon "I work so hard I haven't seen my kids in 10 years" Gruden. The Bucs hope Cadillac Williams will rejuvenate their rushing attack and, basically horrible offense in general. Maybe he would once upon a 2005.

Winner: Minnesota

Oakland @ Miami

Last year, if this game happened, the NFL would have committed suicide. Luckily for everyone involved, the Dolphins are actually decent, though their fancy, new-fangled single wing offense is sputtering. What is this? The Great Depression? The Oakland Raiders, meanwhile, are scoring 12.6 points per game and are virtually unwatchable. Just score a touchdown, baby!

Winner: Miami

Chicago @ Green Bay

I bet Brett Favre called Rex Grossman to tell him about what kind of offense he ran while he was in Green Bay. Here are my guesses for the main points:
1. Gunsling
2. Throw as hard as you can
3. Heave the ball wildly at any player you see
I think Grossman had number three on lock. We'll see how he adapts to one and two.

Winner: If Grossman plays, Green Bay. If Orton plays, Chicago.

Houston @ Indianapolis

Matt Schaub is still out with a knee injury, so it's Sage Rosenfels. Of course every game he's played in, they've lost. His name is Sage. An offense needs a QB with a name they can get behind. Hunter or Shooter or Maximus or Brett Favre. Even Bearded McGunslinger.

Winner: Indianapolis

St. Louis @ San Fransisco

I know this game must occur twice, but seriously. Can't they just split the series and not subject anyone to this shit show? The 49ers gave it a hell of a go there at the end against the Cardinals, but their clock management was embarrassing. Also, what's the deal with the touching/falling over/tackle rule? Frank Gore clearly was unaffected by the d-lineman who touched him. He fell over by himself. That should have been a touchdown. If the rule book needs to be changed for that to be a TD, change it.

Winner: San Fransisco

Arizona @ Seattle

Matt Hasselbeck is finally back. He doesn't really have much for which to return. Julius Jones has been running the ball decently, but his wide receivers are weak. Maybe that's why he has been bald his whole life. I don't think the Seahawks have had consistently good wide receivers since Hasselbeck arrived there. He should ask for a 12th man on offense.

Winner: Arizona

Tennessee @ Jacksonville

Tennessee is still unbeaten. Somehow. Some people are calling Kerry Collins the MVP--Tom Jackson, Woody Paige. He has a 78.8 passer rating. He's thrown 5 touchdowns. Simply because he is the quarterback for an undefeated team does no make him the MVP. He isn't even the MVP of his own team. Chris Johnson, Albert Haynesworth, and pretty much any member of their very good offensive and defensive lines--all these players are more valuable than Kerry Collins to his own team. Yes, he doesn't throw ten interceptions per game and cry when he is booed like Vince Young. Being better than Vince Young doesn't make you MVP, it makes you 97% of the NFL.

Winner: Jacksonville

San Diego @ Pittsburgh

I think Shawne Merriman gave Philip "the sun is in my eyes, bro" Rivers some steroids for his body and brain. There's no way he is this good. Not even close. Just look at his face; he's an idiot... and an a-hole. He also can't throw the ball more than ten yards. Something nefarious is going on with this jerk.

Winner: Pittsburgh

Dallas @ Washington

I guess Jessica Simpson kissed Tony Romo's pinky and made it better. Now he's back and so is the Dallas offense. Unfortunately, Romo's return is poorly timed for the Redskins, as Clinton Portis is unlikely for the game. Probably no Hip Hip Hoorays for Jim Zorn. Daniel Snyder will murder you if you fail.

Winner: Dallas

Cleveland @ Buffalo

So the Browns are mad at Kellen Winslow for telling the press he had a staph infection. Okay, they wanted to keep it in the locker room. That's understandable. But... EVERYONE SAID THERE WAS SOMETHING WRONG WITH HIS BALLS. Is it not understandable for him to let everyone know that he doesn't have syphilis or something? Calm down there, Browns.

Winner: Buffalo

Last Week: 10-5
Overall: 70-44


Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Big Trade for Big Daddy

Wow, I'm like the Bill Paxton of Windows Paint.

As you, me and most indigenous tribes deep in the Amazon who have never spoken to the outside world have heard, Matt Holliday has been traded to the Oakland Athletics for Carlos Gonzalez, Greg Smith and Huston Street.

Allow me to preface this by saying that the Rockies are my #1 favorite baseball team. But... the A's are my #1a. I love them nearly as dearly as my beloved Rockies. So, I have watched, rooted for and read about all four players very extensively. Luckily for me, I can't lose here. For both teams, and their fans, there is plenty to lose. So, I will look at this trade as objectively as I can for both teams, player by player.

Matt Holliday

He's the face of the franchise and has been the team MVP for two years running (at least by my count). Losing him is not an easy thing for the Rockies. That being said, he was on his way to free agency and a contract that would exceed the GDP of every country in the European Union combined. Now, I think people realize the 2007 Disney movie that was the Rockies team is over and the credits are through rolling. It isn't financially viable for the Rockies to buy Scott Boras a new beach-front house with a Holliday contract. That's why the Holliday firesale occured and O'Dowd picked the highest bidder, which turned out to be the A's. What the A's get is an established right-handed bat in a heavily left-handed lineup. He has one year with the A's in 2009 and then heads into free agency. The A's aren't dumb enough to pay one corner outfielder $25 mil a year well into his mid-thirties, no matter how good he is. Billy Beane is essentially playing real estate agent here. He will probably leverage the crap out of Holliday and see if he can't Sabathia him into a greater return than what he gave to the Rockies. If he can't find a deal, he'll let Holliday go to the Yankees, Red Sox, Angels, Dodgers, Mets or anyone else who can overpay him, while Beane collects his two first round draft picks. There is, of course, a relatively decent chance that the A's (Holliday's Godzilla bat in tow) can overtake the overrated and aging Angels in the AL West and be a contender. If this is the case, they may pay Holliday to stick around and be their franchise as they finalize a move to Fremont, but this is very unlikely. Holliday is basically a new, and valuable, trading chip for Billy Beane, probably not much more.

Carlos Gonzalez

This guy craps talent and pisses ability. He can play average to decent center field right now (and exceptional right field when Dexter Fowler is ready) and he has the potential to hit 30 home runs. A good center fielder who can hit 30 home runs is about as common as a an uninjured Broncos running back. When you find a player with that ability, you grab on and hold tight. That being said, CarGon (or C-Gon) is very unrefined. He has suspect plate discipline (0.16 BB/K ratio in his major league stint), which is probably why Beane traded him. In the minors, he didn't consistently display his talent in the stat column (career .813 OPS in the minors). Still, his talent is hard to match. His speed, power and arm strength all grade as well above average and his arm is exceptional. What O'Dowd has gone for in CarGon is pure, unadulterated talent. He could be a better fielding Grady Sizemore, or he could be a talented bench player who can't seem to put it together. CarGon is by no means can't miss, but if he's a hit, he'll be an out of the parker. It is a ballsy move by the gambling O'Dowd.

Greg Smith

Nibbles, as he has been unaffectionately called, is a soft-tossing lefty that won't blow you away, but will be effective. His fastball averages 87.6 mph, but he can place it where he wants. Probably his best pitch is his cutter/slider that ranges from 80-86 mph. He'll also serve up a passable change-up and a pretty good hook. Nibbles has outstanding command of all of his pitches (except maybe the curve). His problem, though, is that he spends too much time trying to place each pitch on the black (hence the nickname). In the minors, he rarely walked people (2.64 BB/9), but in the majors he got preoccupied with nibbling at the corners and gave up 87 free passes in 190.1 innings. He can strike people out, but he's no Tim Lincecum, so he can't get to caught up placing everything right on the edge of the plate. At the same time, Coors Field is not going to keep balls in the park like the Coliseum. His 34.2% fly ball rate and 45.5% ground ball rate are not particularly good signs for Smith. He may be watching a lot of big flies from the mound. That being said, he is a much better back end of the rotation guy than Jason Hirsh and Franklin Morales. A rotation of Cook, Jimenez, Francis, Smith and De La Rosa/whoever wins the job is much improved over last year's. Smith won't be flashy or exceptional, but he will eat 190+ innings and give you a chance to win. Expect a 4.50 era out of him, but many a home run. P.S. Though it is not much more than ancillary, Greg Smith has one of the best pickoff moves in baseball.

Huston Street

The rumors are saying that O'Dowd wants to turn around and deal Street elsewhere. I'm inclined to agree. Streeter was a great pitcher. Was. And Buchholz and Corpas are capable late relievers. Let's play a game. It's called Fastball Velocity and Our Economy: Plummet Away...
2006 - 91.7 mph
2007 - 90.4 mph
2008 - 90.0 mph
Now let's play Walking Batters and NFL Fines: Soar to the Heavens...
2006 - 1.66 BB/9
2007 - 2.16 BB/9
2008 - 3.47 BB/9
Streeter is by no means a bad pitcher, but he is also showing signs of decline. O'Dowd more or less picked him up for his reputation. If that is the case, and he turns around and trades Street for something better but less reputable, then, for the first time in my life, I will commend Dan O'Dowd for his baseball intelligence (but it will probably be the only time). If the Rockies keep him, Streeter will be a functional but expensive (he has two years left of arbitration raises) reliever. If the Rockies trade him for good players, well done O'Dowd.

Conclusion

Basically, Billy Beane picked himself up a fancy and expensive house. He's going to paint it, maybe refurnish the kitchen, and pitch it to someone else for a higher price. Beane got O'Dowd to buy in on CarGon's potential and Streeter's reputation. Nibbles is a throw in that will hold a rotation spot, but not really excel. Holliday will net the A's either two first round picks or multiple prospects that will be as good (but at more needed positions) or better than CarGon, Streeter and Nibbles. This is probably a loss for the Rockies and a win for the A's. Who knows though? Perhaps CarGon will be the next Sizemore/Beltran and Smith will be the second coming of Tom Glavine, while Street picks up other good prospects. At this point, though, O'Dowd should put a for sale sign on Garrett Atkins and Todd Helton, and see what he can get. Helton would be salary dumping, while Koshansky fills his spot. Atkins and maybe Street could get a very good return package (obviously, it's time for Ian "Do You Think I'm Sexy" Stewart to play third). Maybe throw in Willy Taveras and the Rockies will have cleaned up a bit of a mess and moved on for their next push at a playoff run (maybe 2010). Hawper in left, D-Fowl in center, and CarGon in right could be quite an outfield. I guess we'll have to wait and see if O'Dowd didn't get fleeced.